Monday, 3 January 2011

Analysts: 25 million Kinect units by 2014

Various analysts have given their opinion on how well Kinect will sell. The result? Very well, in a nutshell.

It’s fair to say that Kinect has been a hit so far, with Microsoft boasting of selling its first one million units in just 10 days. But will the Xbox 360′s motion control system carry on selling well for the rest of the life of the console?

According to Eurogamer, Screen Digest analyst Piers Harding-Rolls predicts Microsoft will sell 25 Kinect units by 2014, based on the assumption that the Xbox 360 will have an installed userbase of around 75 million by then (8 million consoles sold per year from here on in). Colin Sebastian from Lazard Capital Markets agrees with this figure in principal.

However, our favorite crystal ball-gazer Michael Pachter thinks it may be too early to tell because we don’t yet have all the facts at hand (which is most unlike him). His point being that Microsoft could cut the price significantly or even bundle Kinect with every new Xbox 360 sold. In which case the numbers could shoot up considerably. And he does, for once, have a good point. Mark the day in your diaries, folks.

No comments:

Post a Comment